London could face a sharp rise in knife crime, theft, and violence against women unless the Metropolitan Police receives more funding. If funding does not increase, knife crime could surge. That was the warning from Met Commissioner Sir Mark Rowley ahead of a key meeting with the London Policing Board this week.
Sir Mark stated that, despite a better-than-expected budget settlement, the force is still under serious pressure. He said the Metropolitan Police is shrinking, and services are suffering as a result.
The key phrase “knife crime could surge” was repeated throughout his report to highlight the urgency. He claimed the government’s national crime targets could be missed if no further financial support arrives in June.
Previously, in late 2024, the commissioner warned of a £450 million funding shortfall. Although recent support from City Hall and the Home Office helped, Sir Mark said the gains are still not enough.
Currently, the Met wants to grow to 38,000 officers and 19,000 staff. However, current forecasts predict just over 31,000 officers and fewer than 11,000 staff by year-end. Without more resources, around 1,700 positions could be lost.
In the report, Sir Mark emphasized how “knife crime could surge” without urgent investment. He said growing demand and shrinking capacity would seriously harm public safety.
Moreover, the Met may need to close half its police buildings, many of which are outdated or non-compliant. Proposed cuts include removing Royal Parks police, slashing forensics, and reducing specialist teams like mounted officers and firearms units.
The commissioner also stressed that tackling crime brings economic benefits. According to him, every £1 spent on policing adds at least £4 to the UK economy.
Sir Mark’s warning comes as the Home Office continues its financial review of the Met. Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said a joint review is ongoing with the mayor’s office and Scotland Yard.
Still, the report stressed that “knife crime could surge” unless new funding arrives quickly. It warned the lack of investment would delay reforms and affect response times to victims.
Sir Mark concluded by saying crime prevention requires resources. Without them, he said, safety will decline across London.
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