Dozens of Labour MPs, including senior cabinet ministers, could lose their seats over planned disability benefit cuts, according to internal party analysis. The data reveals at least 80 Labour MPs hold majorities smaller than the number of Personal Independence Payment (PIP) recipients in their constituencies who may be affected by the changes.
The proposed welfare reforms, which could see over half of current PIP claimants lose eligibility under stricter assessments, have sparked growing rebellion within Labour ranks. Cabinet members including Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood and Health Secretary Wes Streeting are among those representing constituencies where PIP claimants outnumber their electoral margins.
With a crucial vote expected in June, Labour backbenchers are organizing resistance, with some estimating up to 50 MPs may vote against the measures. The backlash highlights tensions between the government’s fiscal policies and its traditional voter base, particularly in northern “red wall” seats and areas where Reform UK is gaining ground.
The Office for Budget Responsibility estimates 52% of PIP claimants might not qualify under the new system, potentially affecting millions. As discontent grows, some MPs are appealing directly to Prime Minister Keir Starmer, while others warn of catastrophic electoral consequences if the cuts proceed.
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